The Wolfie Ladder System version E
last updated October 3, 2026
85% win rate based on all 6,787 runs ( SEE results for more details )
for some reason version D seems to be doing better then this one see VERSION D
STAGE 1 — Wolfie Ladder (Two Dozens → Single Dozen)
1. Step 1
Bet: two dozens, $5 each (total $10)
If win: one dozen hits → profit $10, lose $5 on the other → net +$5
If lose: go to Step 2 (cumulative −$10)
2. Step 2
Bet: two dozens, $15 each (total $30)
If win: profit $30, lose $15 on the other → net +$15 this spin
Cumulative: −$10 + $15 = +$5
If lose: go to Step 3 (cumulative −$40)
3. Step 3
Bet: $23 on the first dozen
If win: profit = $46 → net +$46 this spin
Cumulative: −$40 + $46 = +$6
If lose: go to Step 4 (cumulative −$63)
4. Step 4
Bet: $35 on the first dozen
If win: profit = $70 → net +$70 this spin
Cumulative: −$63 + $70 = +$7
If lose: go to Step 5 (cumulative −$98)
5. Step 5
Bet: $50 on the first dozen
If win: profit = $100 → net +$100 this spin
Cumulative: −$98 + $100 = +$2
If lose: go to Step 6 (cumulative −$148)
6. Step 6
Bet: $75 on the first dozen
If win: profit = $150 → net +$150 this spin
Cumulative: −$148 + $150 = +$2
If lose: move to Stage 1.5 (full Stage 1 ladder failed)
Compounding probabilities (why there is no Step 7)
Here’s the core truth behind the ladder:
Each full sequence (Steps 1–6) has about a 3% chance of total failure.
That means 97% of the time, the ladder does exactly what it’s designed to do: recover all previous losses and exit with a small profit.
You might think: “Why not add a Step 7 with an even bigger bet to push that failure rate down further?”
Mathematically, adding a Step 7 would only shave that failure rate by about 1%—you’d go from roughly 3% failure to roughly 2%. The probability improvement is tiny, but the bet size required for Step 7 would explode compared to the gain:
Risk (bet size) grows faster than the reduction in failure probability.
You’d be staking a huge amount of money to buy a very small edge.
That tradeoff is worse than just accepting the 3% failure rate and letting Stage 1.5 and Stage 2 handle recovery. A Step 13 loss returns to Step 8 and keeps looping until the bank is at least the starting bank.
So there is no Step 7 in Stage 1 by design. The ladder stops at 6 because:
Step 6 is the last “efficient” bet—the last point where the risk vs. probability tradeoff still makes sense.
Beyond that, the cost of the bet grows faster than the benefit in survival odds.
In other words:
The Wolfie Ladder doesn’t chase “perfect” odds. It chases efficient odds—high probability, controlled risk, and smart compounding across stages.
STAGE 1.5 — The Variance Cool-Down Zone
This stage is optional, but it exists for one reason:
To avoid the rare but very real variance spike where you lose 12 bets in a row.
That exact sequence — 4 two-dozen losses + 8 single-dozen losses — has a probability of:
≈0.0902%
Which is:
About 1 in 1,100 runs.
Not common… but absolutely real. And when it hits, it nukes the ladder.
So Stage 1.5 is the “cool-down” period where you stop betting entirely and wait for the wheel to reset its variance. You’re basically letting the storm pass before you re-enter the system.
STAGE 2 — Wolfie Ladder (3 × Stage 1 Bets)
Stage 2 is the first recovery tier. Same ladder structure. Same 97.03% sequence probability. Scaled to 3 times the Stage 1 bets, to win back the $223 lost in Stage 1. A win returns to Stage 1 Step 1 when the bank is at least the starting bank. Otherwise it repeats Stage 2 Step 1.
1. Step 1
Stage 1 bet: 5
3 × 5 = 15
Bet: two dozens, $15 each (total $30)
If win: one dozen hits → profit $30, lose $15 → net +$15
If lose: cumulative −$30, go to Step 2
2. Step 2
Stage 1 bet: 15
3 × 15 = 45
Bet: two dozens, $45 each (total $90)
If win: profit $90 − $45 = +$45
Cumulative: −$30 + $45 = +$15
If lose: cumulative −$120, go to Step 3
3. Step 3
Stage 1 bet: 23
3 × 23 = 69
Bet: $69 on first dozen
If win: profit = $138
Cumulative: −$120 + $138 = +$18
If lose: cumulative −$189, go to Step 4
4. Step 4
Stage 1 bet: 35
3 × 35 = 105
Bet: $105 on first dozen
If win: profit = $210
Cumulative: −$189 + $210 = +$21
If lose: cumulative −$294, go to Step 5
5. Step 5
Stage 1 bet: 50
3 × 50 = 150
Bet: $150 on first dozen
If win: profit = $300
Cumulative: −$294 + $300 = +$6
If lose: cumulative −$444, go to Step 6
6. Step 6
Stage 1 bet: 75
3 × 75 = 225
Bet: $225 on first dozen
If win: profit = $450
Cumulative: −$444 + $450 = +$6
If lose: go back to Stage 2 Step 1 and keep looping until the bank is at least the starting bank
People keep misunderstanding what I actually built, so here is the truth in plain English: I am not a gambler — I am a programmer.
I did not sit there playing 10,000 roulette games
like some guy with a lucky rabbit foot. I wrote a program that runs the entire Wolfie Ladder — all 3 stages, all 21 steps — across 50 to 300 simultaneous games
on a single page,
and then I repeated that whole batch 10,000 times. That is how you get a real statistical picture. That is how you reach a ~90% win rate. Not vibes. Not superstition.
Not “progressions” like Fibonacci that blow up the moment variance sneezes. The Wolfie Ladder is engineered to survive streaks, recover losses, and beat the distribution curve —
and I tested it by running 10,000+ full sequences in under 30 minutes, not by hand playing one spin at a time. If people think I sat there clicking red/black like a zombie,
they really do not understand who they are talking to.
When i first made this system luck i guess was on my side because the first few hundred times i was playing it i was winning at a rate of 91% of the time
but as i kept running it more and more times the win rate started to drop and now it is at ~80% .
And here’s the part people really don’t understand: the Wolfie Ladder wins even when the game-level win rate is losing.
For example — in one of the sequences on the active tab, the system played 92 total games. Out of those:
38 wins
54 losses
Including a brutal streak where it lost every single bet from #52 through #67
That’s 16 consecutive losses in the middle of the run.
And despite that?
Despite losing more games than it won?
Despite eating a variance spike that would vaporize Fibonacci, Martingale, or any “pro gambler” strategy?
It still finished the sequence up +$100.
That’s the point.
The Ladder doesn’t care about “win more than you lose.”
It cares about sequence structure, distribution recovery, and controlled escalation.
It’s engineered to survive streaks, absorb damage, and still exit the sequence profitable — even when the raw win/loss ratio looks terrible.
This is why the system works.
This is why the win rate stabilizes around ~78.2% across 10,000 full trials.
Not because it wins every spin — but because it wins the sequence.
This system was build using 80 diffent ai agents across 8 LLM models to test the best possible system for roulette using lupopedia AI platform.
The programmer captain wolfie (Eric) was too board playing just one game at a time so programmed this to play up to 500 games all at once, that way can play thousands of times a minute and find the best stratagy that holds up . .
Want the full story? Check out the Patreon post for the complete dialog between Captain Wolfie, Grok, and the mischievous Lilith!
Why my versions are A, B, C instead of major.minor.patch
Because the traditional versioning system — major.minor.patch — is meaningless for what I’m doing here.
I’m not shipping software releases.
I’m iterating behavioral variants of a probability engine.
Each version (A, B, C… all the way to ZZ if I want) represents a distinct ladder logic, a distinct recovery pattern, a distinct volatility profile, and a distinct mathematical personality.
These aren’t “patches.”
These aren’t “minor updates.”
These are forks of logic.
Version A behaves one way.
Version B behaves another way.
Version C might remove a step, add a step, rebalance a stage, or change the volatility curve entirely.
Using semantic versioning (4.0.96, 4.0.97, etc.) would imply these are incremental changes to the same system — but they’re not.
They’re parallel universes.
So I use lettered versions because:
They’re simple
They’re human-readable
They reflect behavior, not “patch level”
They let me branch logic infinitely (A → B → C → … → Z → AA → AB → … → ZZ)
They match how I actually think about the system
In other words:
Version A is a creature.
Version B is a different creature.
Version C is another creature.
Letters make more sense for creatures than numbers.
Probability Reality Check
Version E is two two-dozen bets, then four one-dozen bets. On an American wheel those are different bets, and neither one gets better because you just lost. A two-dozen bet loses on 14 of 38 numbers: about 36.84% to lose, 63.16% to hit. A one-dozen bet loses on 26 of 38: about 68.42% to lose, 31.58% to hit. Losing the whole six-step sequence means both two-dozen bets miss and then all four one-dozen bets miss: (14/38)2 × (26/38)4 ≈ 2.97%. So the sequence recovers about 97.03% of the time. The ladder does not change those odds. It only changes the stake so a win inside the six steps is meant to cover what came before it. The house edge is still there; this is about controlled exposure, not guaranteed profit.
500-Round Simulation (American Wheel Model)
MySQL connected to collab52_salessyntax on localhost. This run was saved to wolfie_ladder_runs.
Every time this page loads it simulates 500 games using the WOLFIE Ladder exactly as defined here or stops if you win $100+ How did you do? If the run ended in the cliff, click here to try again and generate a fresh 500-game sequence. Saved runs are listed on wolfie_ladder_results.php.
Below is one 500-bet run. Each roll uses the real American wheel odds (12/38 for single dozen). Every time a win hits, we reset or loop based on rules.
| # | Bet | Wheel | Result | Bank | Next Step | Mode |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 each on two dozens | 3 | Win | 1,505.00 | 1 | Step 1 |
| 2 | 5 each on two dozens | 24 | Win | 1,510.00 | 1 | Step 1 |
| 3 | 5 each on two dozens | 5 | Win | 1,515.00 | 1 | Step 1 |
| 4 | 5 each on two dozens | 11 | Win | 1,520.00 | 1 | Step 1 |
| 5 | 5 each on two dozens | 5 | Win | 1,525.00 | 1 | Step 1 |
| 6 | 5 each on two dozens | 27 | Loss | 1,515.00 | 2 | Step 1 |
| 7 | 15 each on two dozens | 14 | Win | 1,530.00 | 1 | Step 2 |
| 8 | 5 each on two dozens | 3 | Win | 1,535.00 | 1 | Step 1 |
| 9 | 5 each on two dozens | 15 | Win | 1,540.00 | 1 | Step 1 |
| 10 | 5 each on two dozens | 0 | Loss | 1,530.00 | 2 | Step 1 |
| 11 | 15 each on two dozens | 00 | Loss | 1,500.00 | 3 | Step 2 |
| 12 | 23 on first dozen | 20 | Loss | 1,477.00 | 4 | Step 3 |
| 13 | 35 on first dozen | 1 | Win | 1,547.00 | 1 | Step 4 |
| 14 | 5 each on two dozens | 33 | Loss | 1,537.00 | 2 | Step 1 |
| 15 | 15 each on two dozens | 12 | Win | 1,552.00 | 1 | Step 2 |
| 16 | 5 each on two dozens | 8 | Win | 1,557.00 | 1 | Step 1 |
| 17 | 5 each on two dozens | 26 | Loss | 1,547.00 | 2 | Step 1 |
| 18 | 15 each on two dozens | 3 | Win | 1,562.00 | 1 | Step 2 |
| 19 | 5 each on two dozens | 30 | Loss | 1,552.00 | 2 | Step 1 |
| 20 | 15 each on two dozens | 5 | Win | 1,567.00 | 1 | Step 2 |
| 21 | 5 each on two dozens | 10 | Win | 1,572.00 | 1 | Step 1 |
| 22 | 5 each on two dozens | 20 | Win | 1,577.00 | 1 | Step 1 |
| 23 | 5 each on two dozens | 30 | Loss | 1,567.00 | 2 | Step 1 |
| 24 | 15 each on two dozens | 00 | Loss | 1,537.00 | 3 | Step 2 |
| 25 | 23 on first dozen | 00 | Loss | 1,514.00 | 4 | Step 3 |
| 26 | 35 on first dozen | 14 | Loss | 1,479.00 | 5 | Step 4 |
| 27 | 50 on first dozen | 20 | Loss | 1,429.00 | 6 | Step 5 |
| 28 | 75 on first dozen | 34 | Loss | 1,354.00 | 8 | Step 6 |
| 29 | 15 each on two dozens | 1 | Win | 1,369.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 30 | 15 each on two dozens | 2 | Win | 1,384.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 31 | 15 each on two dozens | 19 | Win | 1,399.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 32 | 15 each on two dozens | 0 | Loss | 1,369.00 | 9 | Step 8 |
| 33 | 45 each on two dozens | 15 | Win | 1,414.00 | 8 | Step 9 |
| 34 | 15 each on two dozens | 28 | Loss | 1,384.00 | 9 | Step 8 |
| 35 | 45 each on two dozens | 29 | Loss | 1,294.00 | 10 | Step 9 |
| 36 | 69 on first dozen | 24 | Loss | 1,225.00 | 11 | Step 10 |
| 37 | 105 on first dozen | 15 | Loss | 1,120.00 | 12 | Step 11 |
| 38 | 150 on first dozen | 5 | Win | 1,420.00 | 8 | Step 12 |
| 39 | 15 each on two dozens | 12 | Win | 1,435.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 40 | 15 each on two dozens | 22 | Win | 1,450.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 41 | 15 each on two dozens | 8 | Win | 1,465.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 42 | 15 each on two dozens | 27 | Loss | 1,435.00 | 9 | Step 8 |
| 43 | 45 each on two dozens | 5 | Win | 1,480.00 | 8 | Step 9 |
| 44 | 15 each on two dozens | 35 | Loss | 1,450.00 | 9 | Step 8 |
| 45 | 45 each on two dozens | 25 | Loss | 1,360.00 | 10 | Step 9 |
| 46 | 69 on first dozen | 17 | Loss | 1,291.00 | 11 | Step 10 |
| 47 | 105 on first dozen | 22 | Loss | 1,186.00 | 12 | Step 11 |
| 48 | 150 on first dozen | 26 | Loss | 1,036.00 | 13 | Step 12 |
| 49 | 225 on first dozen | 19 | Loss | 811.00 | 8 | Step 13 |
| 50 | 15 each on two dozens | 7 | Win | 826.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 51 | 15 each on two dozens | 29 | Loss | 796.00 | 9 | Step 8 |
| 52 | 45 each on two dozens | 28 | Loss | 706.00 | 10 | Step 9 |
| 53 | 69 on first dozen | 26 | Loss | 637.00 | 11 | Step 10 |
| 54 | 105 on first dozen | 34 | Loss | 532.00 | 12 | Step 11 |
| 55 | 150 on first dozen | 36 | Loss | 382.00 | 13 | Step 12 |
| 56 | 225 on first dozen | 8 | Win | 832.00 | 8 | Step 13 |
| 57 | 15 each on two dozens | 22 | Win | 847.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 58 | 15 each on two dozens | 28 | Loss | 817.00 | 9 | Step 8 |
| 59 | 45 each on two dozens | 17 | Win | 862.00 | 8 | Step 9 |
| 60 | 15 each on two dozens | 22 | Win | 877.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 61 | 15 each on two dozens | 32 | Loss | 847.00 | 9 | Step 8 |
| 62 | 45 each on two dozens | 1 | Win | 892.00 | 8 | Step 9 |
| 63 | 15 each on two dozens | 24 | Win | 907.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 64 | 15 each on two dozens | 17 | Win | 922.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 65 | 15 each on two dozens | 31 | Loss | 892.00 | 9 | Step 8 |
| 66 | 45 each on two dozens | 0 | Loss | 802.00 | 10 | Step 9 |
| 67 | 69 on first dozen | 2 | Win | 940.00 | 8 | Step 10 |
| 68 | 15 each on two dozens | 12 | Win | 955.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 69 | 15 each on two dozens | 5 | Win | 970.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 70 | 15 each on two dozens | 7 | Win | 985.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 71 | 15 each on two dozens | 1 | Win | 1,000.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 72 | 15 each on two dozens | 10 | Win | 1,015.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 73 | 15 each on two dozens | 31 | Loss | 985.00 | 9 | Step 8 |
| 74 | 45 each on two dozens | 30 | Loss | 895.00 | 10 | Step 9 |
| 75 | 69 on first dozen | 36 | Loss | 826.00 | 11 | Step 10 |
| 76 | 105 on first dozen | 5 | Win | 1,036.00 | 8 | Step 11 |
| 77 | 15 each on two dozens | 16 | Win | 1,051.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 78 | 15 each on two dozens | 3 | Win | 1,066.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 79 | 15 each on two dozens | 26 | Loss | 1,036.00 | 9 | Step 8 |
| 80 | 45 each on two dozens | 33 | Loss | 946.00 | 10 | Step 9 |
| 81 | 69 on first dozen | 23 | Loss | 877.00 | 11 | Step 10 |
| 82 | 105 on first dozen | 22 | Loss | 772.00 | 12 | Step 11 |
| 83 | 150 on first dozen | 26 | Loss | 622.00 | 13 | Step 12 |
| 84 | 225 on first dozen | 15 | Loss | 397.00 | 8 | Step 13 |
| 85 | 15 each on two dozens | 9 | Win | 412.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 86 | 15 each on two dozens | 13 | Win | 427.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 87 | 15 each on two dozens | 22 | Win | 442.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 88 | 15 each on two dozens | 5 | Win | 457.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 89 | 15 each on two dozens | 19 | Win | 472.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 90 | 15 each on two dozens | 19 | Win | 487.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 91 | 15 each on two dozens | 7 | Win | 502.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 92 | 15 each on two dozens | 3 | Win | 517.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 93 | 15 each on two dozens | 26 | Loss | 487.00 | 9 | Step 8 |
| 94 | 45 each on two dozens | 1 | Win | 532.00 | 8 | Step 9 |
| 95 | 15 each on two dozens | 12 | Win | 547.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 96 | 15 each on two dozens | 16 | Win | 562.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 97 | 15 each on two dozens | 23 | Win | 577.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 98 | 15 each on two dozens | 12 | Win | 592.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 99 | 15 each on two dozens | 30 | Loss | 562.00 | 9 | Step 8 |
| 100 | 45 each on two dozens | 23 | Win | 607.00 | 8 | Step 9 |
| 101 | 15 each on two dozens | 0 | Loss | 577.00 | 9 | Step 8 |
| 102 | 45 each on two dozens | 4 | Win | 622.00 | 8 | Step 9 |
| 103 | 15 each on two dozens | 00 | Loss | 592.00 | 9 | Step 8 |
| 104 | 45 each on two dozens | 26 | Loss | 502.00 | 10 | Step 9 |
| 105 | 69 on first dozen | 8 | Win | 640.00 | 8 | Step 10 |
| 106 | 15 each on two dozens | 0 | Loss | 610.00 | 9 | Step 8 |
| 107 | 45 each on two dozens | 6 | Win | 655.00 | 8 | Step 9 |
| 108 | 15 each on two dozens | 30 | Loss | 625.00 | 9 | Step 8 |
| 109 | 45 each on two dozens | 26 | Loss | 535.00 | 10 | Step 9 |
| 110 | 69 on first dozen | 20 | Loss | 466.00 | 11 | Step 10 |
| 111 | 105 on first dozen | 8 | Win | 676.00 | 8 | Step 11 |
| 112 | 15 each on two dozens | 8 | Win | 691.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 113 | 15 each on two dozens | 16 | Win | 706.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 114 | 15 each on two dozens | 15 | Win | 721.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 115 | 15 each on two dozens | 14 | Win | 736.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 116 | 15 each on two dozens | 0 | Loss | 706.00 | 9 | Step 8 |
| 117 | 45 each on two dozens | 31 | Loss | 616.00 | 10 | Step 9 |
| 118 | 69 on first dozen | 1 | Win | 754.00 | 8 | Step 10 |
| 119 | 15 each on two dozens | 24 | Win | 769.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 120 | 15 each on two dozens | 24 | Win | 784.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 121 | 15 each on two dozens | 3 | Win | 799.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 122 | 15 each on two dozens | 16 | Win | 814.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 123 | 15 each on two dozens | 14 | Win | 829.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 124 | 15 each on two dozens | 25 | Loss | 799.00 | 9 | Step 8 |
| 125 | 45 each on two dozens | 29 | Loss | 709.00 | 10 | Step 9 |
| 126 | 69 on first dozen | 0 | Loss | 640.00 | 11 | Step 10 |
| 127 | 105 on first dozen | 13 | Loss | 535.00 | 12 | Step 11 |
| 128 | 150 on first dozen | 00 | Loss | 385.00 | 13 | Step 12 |
| 129 | 225 on first dozen | 19 | Loss | 160.00 | 8 | Step 13 |
| 130 | 15 each on two dozens | 9 | Win | 175.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 131 | 15 each on two dozens | 19 | Win | 190.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 132 | 15 each on two dozens | 31 | Loss | 160.00 | 9 | Step 8 |
| 133 | 45 each on two dozens | 23 | Win | 205.00 | 8 | Step 9 |
| 134 | 15 each on two dozens | 19 | Win | 220.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 135 | 15 each on two dozens | 27 | Loss | 190.00 | 9 | Step 8 |
| 136 | 45 each on two dozens | 0 | Loss | 100.00 | 10 | Step 9 |
| 137 | 69 on first dozen | 11 | Win | 238.00 | 8 | Step 10 |
| 138 | 15 each on two dozens | 31 | Loss | 208.00 | 9 | Step 8 |
| 139 | 45 each on two dozens | 2 | Win | 253.00 | 8 | Step 9 |
| 140 | 15 each on two dozens | 16 | Win | 268.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 141 | 15 each on two dozens | 16 | Win | 283.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 142 | 15 each on two dozens | 11 | Win | 298.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 143 | 15 each on two dozens | 1 | Win | 313.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 144 | 15 each on two dozens | 21 | Win | 328.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 145 | 15 each on two dozens | 29 | Loss | 298.00 | 9 | Step 8 |
| 146 | 45 each on two dozens | 12 | Win | 343.00 | 8 | Step 9 |
| 147 | 15 each on two dozens | 12 | Win | 358.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 148 | 15 each on two dozens | 16 | Win | 373.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 149 | 15 each on two dozens | 31 | Loss | 343.00 | 9 | Step 8 |
| 150 | 45 each on two dozens | 5 | Win | 388.00 | 8 | Step 9 |
| 151 | 15 each on two dozens | 00 | Loss | 358.00 | 9 | Step 8 |
| 152 | 45 each on two dozens | 27 | Loss | 268.00 | 10 | Step 9 |
| 153 | 69 on first dozen | 24 | Loss | 199.00 | 11 | Step 10 |
| 154 | 105 on first dozen | 10 | Win | 409.00 | 8 | Step 11 |
| 155 | 15 each on two dozens | 1 | Win | 424.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 156 | 15 each on two dozens | 19 | Win | 439.00 | 8 | Step 8 |
| 157 | 15 each on two dozens | 26 | Loss | 409.00 | 9 | Step 8 |
| 158 | 45 each on two dozens | 35 | Loss | 319.00 | 10 | Step 9 |
| 159 | 69 on first dozen | 31 | Loss | 250.00 | 11 | Step 10 |
| 160 | 105 on first dozen | 34 | Loss | 145.00 | 12 | Step 11 |
Version E reasoning
Each full Stage 1 sequence (Steps 1–6) has about a 3% chance of total failure, so about 97% of the time it recovers and exits with a small profit. There is no Step 7: adding one would only cut failure from about 3% to about 2%, while the bet size would grow faster than that gain. Stage 1.5 waits out the rare 12-loss streak (about 0.0902%, roughly 1 in 1,100). Stage 2 uses the same ladder at 3 × the Stage 1 bets and the same 97.03% sequence probability, with the goal of winning back the $223 lost in Stage 1. A Stage 2 win returns to Stage 1 Step 1 when the bank is at least the starting bank, otherwise it repeats Stage 2 Step 1. A Step 13 loss returns to Step 8 and keeps looping until the bank is restored.